“Of alcoholics who came to A.A. and really tried, 50% got sober at once and remained that way; 25% sobered up after some relapses, and among the remainder, those who stayed on with A.A. showed improvement.” (Alcoholics Anonymous, p. xx)
This indicates a success rate better than 75% during the first 20 years of A.A.'s existence. The first four years there was no instruction manual. During the following 14 years, the Big Book was A.A.'s only book.
In 1953 the Twelve Steps and Twelve Traditions of Alcoholics Anonymous (aka: the 12 & 12) was published. The second portion of the book which focuses on the Traditions, is based on the experience of the entire fellowship at that time. With regard to the Traditions, it carries the same weight that the Big Book carries with regard to the Steps. However, the Steps portion of the “12 & 12” is a series of essays based on the experiences and insights of one man. The “12 & 12” actually contains no instructions for working the Steps. It is merely a collection of thoughts, experiences and insights.
Many people in the fellowship of that time really liked it. Focusing on this book in their meetings did not hold them accountable for working the Steps. Instead the meetings allowed members to simply talk about the Steps from a theoretical standpoint. No instructions for working the Steps meant they didn't necessarily have to take action, and if they did, they could do it however they wanted.
The result? By 1963 the success rate of the overall fellowship had declined to roughly 50%. A.A. and other fellowships have put out much literature since then. Each new pamphlet or book seems to bring the focus further away from the specific, precise, clear-cut, history-proven directions for bringing about a spiritual awakening which are contained in the Big Book. It appears the more they do so, the worse their success rates become. In 1980, the A.A. intergroups of DFW and Houston reported a success rate of less than 33%.
The year 2000 saw for the first time in A.A.'s history an actual decline in membership. Box 459 has reported the recovery statistics of the modern day: fellowship-wide, less than 10% of the people who pick up a 1 day chip will still be sober a year later to pick up a 1 year chip. Our conclusion: the more any fellowship tries to improve upon the directions contained in the Big Book, the worse the results seem to be. We see in most recovery literature a confusion between popular psychology and the Twelve Step Program. We see the original goal of Twelve Step, a spiritual awakening, being substituted with the goal of re-socialization. And while healthy meetings are by no means a waste of time, they should never be confused with working the Twelve Steps with a sponsor by the directions in the Big Book.
Our experience with our illness is one of lethality. We have seen members, active in fellowship die as a result of this addiction. When we saw our addiction as deadly, if we wanted to survive, if we wanted to not only live, but live happily and free of the obsession, then we had to bet our lives on our best chances of surviving this addiction. History seemed to indicate our best hope lay with the original, uncorrupted, clear-cut, precise and specific instructions for working the Twelve Steps. Whether you are new to recovery or have exhausted all of your other options, we encourage you to read this book. Choosing to pursue the program it contains is purely your decision. Either way, it contains a program of action that we believe can be beneficial to anyone seeking a spiritual path. As far as we're concerned, doing the work it describes saved our lives.